Publications about the climate overshoot scenarios & impacts

This report looks at the projected impacts of overshoot scenarios on biodiversity. The FaIR-MESMER results indicate that while the temperature may recover, biodiversity does not

D4.3 Co-developed iconic overshoot adaptation scenario narratives and high-resolution maps

In this report, we co-develop adaptation scenario narratives together with local stakeholders for critical areas within four Iconic cities, using high-resolution maps. Adaptation measures are then remodelled to evaluate their effectiveness on the ground.

D6.4 Policy brief on climate and sectoral overshoot impacts and reversibility assessments, and implications for adaptation

Keeping warming below 1.5C by the end of the century now likely involves “overshooting” 1.5C and then bringing temperatures back down later by removing carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. This policy brief details the consequences of overshoot as well as recommendations to peak warming in addition to long-term decline. A version of this deliverable has been published for wide dissemination at the portal “Carbon Brief”.

D3.6 Policy brief on Overshoot Proofing

Recent findings from the PROVIDE project show that overshooting 1.5° C results in high uncertainty when it comes to warming outcomes, climate impacts and associated risks. This policy brief outlines current understandings (or lack thereof) of overshoot scenarios, potential irreversible impacts, and the use of “peak and decline” scenarios to consider a wide range of plausible outcomes. A version of this deliverable has been published for wide dissemination at the portal “Carbon Brief”.

Integrating the concept of limits in adaptation planning for the sector of infrastructure

This report outlines how the concept of limits to adaptation can be integrated into plans of the sector of infrastructure.

Integrating the concept of limits in adaptation planning for the sector of agriculture

This report outlines how the concept of limits to adaptation can be integrated into plans of the sector of agriculture.

Overshoot proofing adaptation plans and policies

This report presents the updated version of the Overshoot Proofing Methodology and outlines why and when it is relevant to consider overshoot scenarios in adaptation planning.

D4.2 Four Overshoot Proofing reports

Four Overshoot Proofing reports for Iconic Regions and Cities

Policy Brief: The Risks of Temperature Overshoot

We need to peak emissions before 2025 on the way to roughly halving GHG emissions by 2030 to minimise the risk of overshooting the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. However, current policies and pledged Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are inadequate achieve any of these milestone. Urgent and stringent action is needed.

D1.1 Policy brief on assessment of GHG emissions implied by the latest round of NDCs under the Paris Agreement, their plausible temperature implications, and CDR deployment scales in associated pathways

A method to analyze the global warming implications of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and other long-term emissions reduction targets is described. In addition, a method to understand the potential Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) consequences of the implied emissions pathways is presented.

D3.2 Policy brief

Policy brief on PROVIDE findings of adaptation and mitigation implications of overshoot risks as input into the Global Stocktake

D4.1 Four review reports

Four review reports on key overshoot adaptation challenges in Iconic Regions and Cities

D5.1 Version 0 of the Climate Risk Dashboard

Providing information on few variables with global coverage (Climate Analytics)

D6.2 Release of complete set of communication materials and tools, incl. the public website V 1.0

This report describes the complete set of communication materials and tools, including the public website (V 1.0). The tools will support the communication activities to raise the awareness in the general public, to reach out beyond the main stakeholder groups of the project and widely distribute project results to different target audiences.