The PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard
Overshooting the Paris Agreement temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. Overshoot scenarios are defined by the IPCC Glossary as pathways that exceed the stabilization level (concentration, forcing, or temperature) before the end of a time horizon of interest (e.g., before 2100) and then decline towards that level by that time. Once the target level is exceeded, removal by sinks of greenhouse gases is required.
The PROVIDE Climate risk dashboard is an online platform providing detailed information on overshoot scenarios and expected impacts and their reversibility, with unique sectoral coverage including extreme events, biodiversity, cryosphere, carbon cycle, marine climate, economic damages, and socio-economic vulnerabilities, among others. The information includes global, national, and city-level modelling results. The dashboard offers innovative approaches to data presentation and a cutting-edge design co-developed in cooperation with stakeholders.
The dashboard includes an overshoot proofing module for adaptation planning which was co-developed together with a diverse group of stakeholders within the PROVIDE project.
Version 3 of the Dashboard was launched in December 2024 and the dashboard will be further developed beyond project end.
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About the Project
The 1.5°C Paris Agreement temperature goal provides the benchmark for global climate action to avoid the most devastating impacts of climate change. However, under current trajectories, overshooting (meaning the temporary exceedance of 1.5°C) the Paris temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. The impacts of such overshoot scenarios would be particularly consequential for vulnerable regions and systems. Here, even in the case of only a temporary exceedance of 1.5°C, thresholds of abrupt and possibly irreversible shifts or adaptation limits may be exceeded. The PROVIDE project aims to deliver information on overshoot scenarios and respective impacts in the context of adaptation through an innovative web tool. You will be able to assess the risks of overshooting systemic thresholds (e.g. glacier melt) from the local to the global level. Moving beyond a limited set of climate scenarios, the PROVIDE approach allows you to make thresholds the starting point for the analysis and adaptation planning.
Latest News
D2.5 Biodiversity impacts of overshoot
This report looks at the projected impacts of overshoot scenarios on biodiversity. The FaIR-MESMER results indicate that while the temperature may recover, biodiversity does not
Climate risk dashboard quiz
We are thrilled to introduce our new interactive self-guiding quiz about the dashboard! This engaging tool offers clear, structured demonstrations and encourages exploration of project results, helping adaptation planners and policy makers to understand climate overshoot science in an interactive way.
Policy Brief Warn of 1.5°C Overshoot Risks and Need for Climate Action
A recent policy brief highlights the critical dangers of exceeding the 1.5°C warming limit set by the Paris Agreement.
The work led by Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, details the irreversible damage overshoot could cause to ecosystems, biodiversity, and resources, emphasizing the need for immediate mitigation.