Paris Agreement Overshooting
Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs
Innovative Climate Services
Assessing the risks of exceeding adaptation limits
Overshoot Proofing of Adaptation strategies
Assessing the need on EU level and in four Iconic regions
The PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard
Overshooting the Paris Agreement temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. Overshoot scenarios are defined by the IPCC Glossary as pathways that exceed the stabilization level (concentration, forcing, or temperature) before the end of a time horizon of interest (e.g., before 2100) and then decline towards that level by that time. Once the target level is exceeded, removal by sinks of greenhouse gases is required.
The PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard is an online platform providing detailed information on overshoot scenarios and expected impacts and their reversibility, with unique sectoral coverage including extreme events, biodiversity, cryosphere, sea level rise, agriculture, economic damages, socio-economic vulnerabilities among others. The information includes global, national and city level modelling results. The design and the presentation of the data is currently co-developed together with stakeholders.
An overshoot proofing module for adaptation planning will be made available for adaptation planners. The Overshoot Proofing Methodology is co-developed together with a diverse group of stakeholders within the PROVIDE project.
A beta version of the PROVIDE Dashboard has been launched in October 2022 and will be further developed within the project duration.
About the Project
The 1.5°C Paris Agreement temperature goal provides the benchmark for global climate action to avoid the most devastating impacts of climate change. However, under current trajectories, overshooting (meaning the temporary exceedance of 1.5°C) the Paris temperature thresholds is a distinct possibility. The impacts of such overshoot scenarios would be particularly consequential for vulnerable regions and systems. Here, even in the case of only a temporary exceedance of 1.5°C, thresholds of abrupt and possibly irreversible shifts or adaptation limits may be exceeded. The PROVIDE project aims to deliver information on overshoot scenarios and respective impacts in the context of adaptation through an innovative web tool. You will be able to assess the risks of overshooting systemic thresholds (e.g. glacier melt) from the local to the global level. Moving beyond a limited set of climate scenarios, the PROVIDE approach allows you to make thresholds the starting point for the analysis and adaptation planning.
This demo video shows which features and functionalities the PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard offers to its users. It explains how to use this webtool and to explore future climate change impacts and how to avoid them.
The new version of the PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard tool has been launched end of January 2024. This innovative webtool allows practitioners and policy makers to access information on risks of future climate impacts and how to avoid them.
In this virtual launch event, PROVIDE research on urban climate projections for cities will be presented and the new version of the PROVIDE Climate Risk Dashboard tool demonstrated. This innovative webtool allows practitioners and policy makers to access information on risks of future climate impacts and how to avoid them.